Russia–NATO Risk Ladder MCP

This MCP server provides free, read-only access to data on the risk of a Russian attack on NATO countries. It exposes tools to retrieve published forecasts, model outputs, hand-coded intelligence assessments, and methodology details. The service aggregates data from sources like Metaculus and Manifold, presenting risk levels and historical trends for geopolitical analysis.

Endpoint and access

No sign-in: your client connects and lists tools immediately, with no account or key.

No sign-inEndpoint checked 2026-10-18Operated by russianato.site

MCP endpoint (Streamable HTTP)

https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Vendor documentation

What you can do with it

Retrieve current risk ladder levels for NATO countries
Access historical forecast data and trends
View hand-coded intelligence assessments
Understand the methodology behind risk predictions

Tools advertised by the last live check:

get_overview
get_risk_ladder
get_forecast_history
get_intelligence_assessments
get_sources
get_other_forecasts
get_changelog
get_methodology

Connect from your client

Each snippet registers the same endpoint; pick the client you use.

This server is operated by the named third party. Listing and endpoint checks are not an endorsement or a security audit. Review the operator's permissions, terms, and data handling before connecting. How listings are checked and corrected.

Claude Code

Run this once in a terminal. It registers a Streamable HTTP server. Use --scope project to write .mcp.json for the repo.

Claude Code configuration

claude mcp add --transport http russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Codex

Run this once. Codex stores MCP servers in ~/.codex/config.toml (or .codex/config.toml in a trusted project).

Codex configuration

codex mcp add russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp --url https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Cursor

Merge this server into .cursor/mcp.json in your project, then enable russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp in your MCP settings.

Cursor configuration

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp": {
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Cline

Merge this into cline_mcp_settings.json (Cline → MCP Servers → Configure). The type must be streamableHttp for a remote HTTP server.

Cline configuration

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp": {
      "type": "streamableHttp",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp",
      "disabled": false
    }
  }
}

VS Code

Merge this server into .vscode/mcp.json. Use MCP: List Servers to start russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp and inspect its tools.

VS Code configuration

{
  "servers": {
    "russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Gemini CLI

Run this once. It writes .gemini/settings.json in the current project; pass --scope user for ~/.gemini/settings.json.

Gemini CLI configuration

gemini mcp add --transport http russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Claude Desktop

Merge this into claude_desktop_config.json (macOS: ~/Library/Application Support/Claude/, Windows: %APPDATA%\Claude\), then restart Claude Desktop.

Claude Desktop configuration

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp": {
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Windsurf

Merge this into ~/.codeium/windsurf/mcp_config.json, then refresh MCP in Cascade. Windsurf remote servers use serverUrl, not url.

Windsurf configuration

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "russia-nato-risk-ladder-mcp": {
      "serverUrl": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

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